Most people use money every day so you would think that they would know what it is, but that doesn’t always seem to be the case. I would like to explore what is meant by sound money, hard currency, gold standard and those kinds of commonly used words.
In the bronze age, gold was known and used aesthetically or for ritual, but all the indications are that bronze ingots and axe heads were used as a proto currency. This makes sense. If gold was magical or too scarce for trade, the best durable to provide liquidity in commodity exchange was the metal that was most prized for tool and weapon use. Just as gold now gives some people confidence as a timeless holder of value, that must have seemed true for bronze two and a half thousand years ago. Unfortunately, iron came along and those who had hoarded bronze found themselves with a near worthless stash.
In these times people identified their own currency by discovering what was needed for the liquidity required for trading. As time went on, tribal leaders set standards for currency bars and then minted coins. Over the next thousand years or so we can track economic cycles and politico-economic crises by estimating money supply and the devaluations carried out by changing coin alloy composition.
From distributions of found coins it seems clear that different tribal coins were in use on trade routes at the very least. When the nation state developed, currency became one of the fetishes of sovereignty. Instead of being freely traded, monarchs and governments started trying to stipulate how much their money was worth and with this came a degree of national prestige resting on the exchange rate. This madness was with us until 1972 when sterling was partially floated on the market. There was an attempt to return to a more fixed exchange in 1990-92 in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism and it collapsed disastrously. Sterling value is now market determined, but that value is manipulated by the Bank of England fixing interest rates.
When paper bonds, securities and notes became widely used there were worries about what was behind the promises and governments tried to induce confidence by holding bullion stacks and setting money values against them. These gold or silver standards came and went and varied in credibility until international agreement at Bretton Woods in 1944 established the US Dollar as a reserve currency so that bullion did not have to be held and moved. In 1971 the US removed the gold convertibility of the dollar. That has made no difference to international trading, but those who need security for their currency achieve it by holding a basket of other ‘hard’ currencies instead of US dollars alone.
The history of money tells us what it is and what we need from it. Money is a commodity whose function is to exchange things you have for things you want. Money has only ever been as sound as the confidence you have in it. The owner of a hoard of bronze axes probably took a lot of care over the security of his store, but didn’t anticipate bronze becoming unwanted.
I want to sell some shares and buy oil. Tomorrow I will sell the oil and buy Japanese Yen to finance a business trip. In these transactions I will not be interested in state promises underlying currency. The only thing of relevance is the second by second price of these things in international markets. I do not even want physical contact with the money. I am satisfied with the movement of some electrons and reliable software to give effect to my deals.
In another scenario, I have accumulated money that I do not need and I want to set it aside for my grandchildren at some time in the future. Ignoring tax for the moment, it would not be the best move to hold it in cash, irrespective of whether that is under the bed or in a bank. Its value will be eroded by inflation and/or it is at risk of theft or the saving institution going bust. This would be true irrespective of whether there was a gold standard or not. Let us be clear, if you do not believe the promise to pay the bearer on demand, why would you believe a promise by the same government that it is holding the bullion necessary to support its promises? The only real gold standard is owning gold, but even if it doesn’t suffer the same fate as bronze, it is expensive to keep and hard to exchange so it is useless as currency.
There is no sure answer to my question, but the best option is quite likely to be to buy a bundle of blue chip equities including some land, some durable commodities like gold and shares in major companies.
The qualities required of money are different in the short term than they are in the long term. All money depends on the confidence it commands over the period for which it is required. Not only the best, but the only way of establishing that confidence is by a free market. What makes a currency hard (i.e. having the capability of maintaining its worth outside of the borders of the state in which it is minted) is by being traded without manipulation.
If we really want to see the free market flourish we should abandon nationalist attachments to a specific currency and give up trying to fix interest rates. Any country, region, organisation or individual should be able to issue money if they want to, and everybody should be free to accept whatever they want as value. As Hayek understood, this will not result in the chaos that governments want you to believe, but will allow the rational choices that we apply when we buy or sell any other product.
Linden Dollars are just as much real money as any other currency so long as they can be exchanged for currencies outside Second Life. At some point Second Life will go away and so will the worth of Linden Dollars. State issued currencies sometimes fail. The Deutsch Mark collapsed in Germany under the Weimar Republic. Wilson’s Government brought sterling to the edge of failure when we had 25% inflation in mid 1970′s and recently the Zimbabwe Dollar sank to zero value because Mugabe and his mates screwed the economy. How long might the euro survive I wonder?
Words like sound money or fiat money don’t have meaning. All that counts about money is whether it works and you can’t rely on it working forever irrespective of who made it or what they say is backing it up.
Like this:
Be the first to like this post.